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Quickies


For items that may not merit their own threads.

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Robbie
8/16/2017, 6:18 pm Link to this post PM Miz Robbie
 
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Re: Quickies


Harvey forecast to slam Texas coast as major hurricane with ‘devastating’ flood potential

By Brian McNoldy and Jason Samenow August 24 at 11:15 PM

Harvey rapidly intensified Thursday morning in the central Gulf of Mexico, and it officially became a hurricane early in the afternoon. The extremely dangerous storm is predicted to strengthen and plow into southeast Texas on Friday as the first major hurricane, rated Category 3 or higher (on the 1-5 Saffir-Simpson intensity scale), to strike U.S. soil in 12 years.

An incredible amount of rain, 15 to 25 inches with isolated amounts of up to 35 inches, is predicted along the middle and upper Texas coast, because the storm is expected to stall and unload torrents for four to six straight days. The National Hurricane Center said it expects “devastating and life-threatening” flash flooding.

Marshall Shepherd, a past-president of the American Meteorological Society, tweeted that he feared an “epic flood catastrophe.”

Not only are the rain and flooding concerns huge, but the storm also has the potential to generate destructive winds and a devastating storm surge — or raise the water as much as 6 to 12 feet above normally dry land at the coast.

“In all these years, it’s rare that I’ve seen a hurricane threat that concerns me as much as this one does,” said Rick Knabb, hurricane expert at The Weather Channel and formerly the director of the National Hurricane Center.

Because Harvey is positioned over extremely warm waters, the National Hurricane Center predicts that the storm, which was a tropical depression on Wednesday, will intensify further and make landfall as a Category 3 storm with 125 mph winds Friday night or early Saturday.

In anticipation of the storm, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) declared a state of emergency in 30 counties. The city of Corpus Christi began "strongly encouraging evacuation" in low lying areas early Thursday afternoon.

Weather. com reported the following additional evacuation orders: “Officials in Calhoun, San Patricio and Refugio counties north of Corpus Christi issued orders on Thursday, along with the cities of Portland, Rockport, Port Aransas, Aransas Pass, Ingleside and Robstown. All residents of Brazoria County living on the Gulf side of the Intracoastal Canal have been ordered to evacuate, as well.”

At 11 p.m. Thursday, Hurricane Harvey had 85 mph peak winds and was centered about 250 miles southeast of Corpus Christi. It is tracking toward the north-northwest at 10 mph.

Hurricane, storm surge and flood warnings plastered coastal and inland portions of East Texas on Thursday evening, and tropical-storm-force winds are forecast to reach the Texas coastline by Friday afternoon.

The general computer model consensus is that Harvey will make landfall Friday night or Saturday morning between Port Mansfield and Sargent, Texas, southwest of Galveston, the zone under a hurricane warning. The biggest population center in this area is Corpus Christi — which may end up very close to the landfall location.

The five-day “cone of uncertainty,” an illustration of where the storm may track, is squashed down to a circle, indicating that after coming ashore, the storm may stall, unleashing its wrath over the same general area through at least Monday or Tuesday.

Much more at: [url][sign in to see URL]

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Robbie
8/24/2017, 11:37 pm Link to this post PM Miz Robbie
 
CooterBrown44 Profile
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Re: Quickies


Best of luck to those people.
8/24/2017, 11:39 pm Link to this post PM CooterBrown44
 
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Re: Quickies


quote:

CooterBrown44 wrote:

Best of luck to those people.



Yeah, no kidding. This looks quite nasty.

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Robbie
8/24/2017, 11:52 pm Link to this post PM Miz Robbie
 
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Re: Quickies


My God, 25 to 35 inches of rain over 6 days could be devastating in some areas! Even here with sandy soil that perks extremely quickly couldn't handle that amount without catastrophic consequences, especially in the area west of US 19, a low area about of 10-15 miles between the highway and the Gulf. I hope the people in the path of this storm use common sense and protect themselves and their pets and property to the best of their ability.
8/25/2017, 5:54 am Link to this post PM bricklayer
 
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Re: Quickies


I just looked at the NOAA site, and that thing looks awful.
8/25/2017, 8:29 am Link to this post PM CooterBrown44
 
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Re: Quickies


30-40" rains ON TOP of a 12-foot storm surge.

And they're interviewing people in areas of VOLUNTARY (what [sign in to see URL] government officials in these areas not read weather reports?) evacuations, and they're just as calm as can be.... "I need to be here to protect my property and my pets." 'Scuse me, lady, but you just can't whip out your shotgun and shoot the hurricane. You CAN'T protect your house from this.

Earlier tonight, I saw Gen. Honore warning people to use a Sharpie to put their names and Social Security numbers on their arms so recovery crews can identify their bodies. I remember him saying the same thing in Katrina, except writing contact information (who to call and phone numbers), which seems like much more useful information.

My thoughts are with the people who are trapped because they didn't expect the storm to escalate as it did.

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Just one voice.... Singing in the darkness....
8/26/2017, 12:43 am Link to this post PM JustLis
 
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Re: Quickies


They used to throw Hurricane parties on the MS Gulf Coast for hurricanes. Then came Camille.
Not many hang around now.
8/26/2017, 1:39 am Link to this post PM CooterBrown44
 
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Re: Quickies


130 mph winds. 12 foot storm surge. And 25 to 30 inches of rain in six days. That is one nasty storm. My thoughts and prayers are with folks along the Tecas coast. And inland. As it will be impacting much of O'd south and central Texas. The flooding is going to be a mess.

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8/26/2017, 6:15 am Link to this post PM GoHawk
 
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Re: Quickies


Apparently New Orleans is going to be hit again as well. They sure don't need it.

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"libido sciendi"..... the passion to know.
8/26/2017, 6:54 am Link to this post PM Noserose
 
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Re: Quickies


I've just turned on the TV and am getting caught up on how things are this morning. MSNBC had a crawl quoting somebody who said there are parts of the Texas coast that may be uninhabitable for weeks or even months.

Good God!

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Robbie
8/26/2017, 9:18 am Link to this post PM Miz Robbie
 
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Oh, man.... I haven't had the TV on since about 5:30 this morning. I did see the prediction about uninhabitability for weeks, and that the thing may go back out into the gulf and go into Houston. But months? And New Orleans? Nonononono....

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Lis

Just one voice.... Singing in the darkness....
8/26/2017, 11:49 pm Link to this post PM JustLis
 
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Re: Quickies


I have two sets of friends in the path of the storm: one couple north of Austin, and another couple who live just outside of College Station.

I have emailed both couples, and haven't heard back.

I did see one sign painted on a boarded-up house that made me smile, though:

"Go HOME, Harvey! You are DRUNK!" emoticon
8/27/2017, 1:11 pm Link to this post PM MsSusieQueue
 
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Great sign, Susie!

(You have to be the Susie Marcus Bales wrote the poem about on the second page of the rumpus room. Is he still on the board?)

Last edited by Bellelettres, 8/27/2017, 1:24 pm
8/27/2017, 1:22 pm Link to this post PM Bellelettres
 
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Re: Quickies


Marcus dates back to the old TOL board but rarely graces us here any longer.

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Robbie
8/27/2017, 1:42 pm Link to this post PM Miz Robbie
 
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Re: Quickies


That's too bad. He's really witty.
8/27/2017, 2:09 pm Link to this post PM Bellelettres
 
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Re: Quickies


Whaddya think, guys? Should Hurricane Harvey have its own thread?

The destruction is beyond imagining.

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Robbie
8/27/2017, 2:15 pm Link to this post PM Miz Robbie
 
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Re: Quickies


quote:

Bellelettres wrote:

Great sign, Susie!

(You have to be the Susie Marcus Bales wrote the poem about on the second page of the rumpus room. Is he still on the board?)



Yep. That would be me. I, too, harken back to the old TOL days. Must be 20 years or so ago.

And I agree Marcus is a clever fellow.
8/27/2017, 2:15 pm Link to this post PM MsSusieQueue
 
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(Does this belong here, Robbie?)

Why violinist Glen Donnelly jumped out of a plane naked playing ‘The Lark Ascending’

By Rachel Chason September 1 at 6:34 AM

As the Australian musician hurtled out of a plane 15,000 feet above land, he cradled a violin on his shoulder. During his 60-second free fall through a clear blue sky on Sunday, Glen Donnelly, who turned 30 that day, played himself “Happy Birthday.”

The hairs of his bow started to come undone, waving wildly in the wind at high altitude. Donnelly — who played professionally with the London Symphony Orchestra — kept performing. As his parachute opened, he played, with a few stops and starts, “The Lark Ascending” by Ralph Vaughan Williams.

“Why am I doing this,” Donnelly had said earlier, as the skydiving plane ascended high above the ocean and white sands of Coffs Harbour north of Sydney.

“I’m insane.”

Had any casual onlookers been watching the descent, they might have agreed.
After all, who plays a violin free falling at 15,000 feet (albeit strapped to his instructor)?

And who does it naked, but for the harness?

Of course, it was a publicity stunt. But it was for a good cause.

By skydiving nude, Donnelly says he sought to raise money and awareness about body image, with which he has long struggled. He says his issues eventually caused a breakdown that forced him to leave the London Symphony Orchestra.

Too few people, he said, are willing to talk about body image issues and eating disorders among men. A naked violin performance given while skydiving, he hoped, would begin to change that.

“It’s all about accepting yourself,” he said in a video, squinting into the sun on the beach after the jump. “It’s okay to feel fear. It’s okay to feel shame.
It’s okay to feel anxiety. The first step is just to accept it, then you can heal it.”

With the performance came publicity — including many interviews with local stations and several with the BBC. Not everyone has taken Donnelly’s quest as seriously as he would like.

“Which bit landed first,” Lisa Wilkinson asked on the Australian breakfast television program, “Today.”

“Hey, how well did you know the instructor,” her co-host asked. “It’s a tandem skydive, so you wanted to have a little bit of confidence in your relationship together, didn’t you.”

Then they cut Donnelly off mid-answer, joking about whether he had “his hands on the baguette” as he fell.

Donnelly, who laughed nervously during the interview, said the next time someone treats him rudely, he plans to walk off the set. But he won’t be dissuaded by his detractors. What matters, he says, is translating the publicity into dollars for his cause.

That’s been a little disappointing, too.
Despite the vast worldwide publicity generated by his jump, he has only raised $3,500 of his $15,000 goal. He wanted to raise $1 for every foot he fell for the benefit of organizations focused on men’s body image issues.

“Men feel this stigma and shame about speaking out,” he told The Washington Post on Thursday. “This is a cultural problem where we are suffering in silence.”

For Donnelly, that silent suffering began years ago. Raised in a conservative Christian household in Gosford, north of Sydney, he says he grew up with “a dysfunctional relationship with achievement.” At 8, he started playing the violin, determined to be the best in the world.

That desire came with anxiety, and that anxiety worsened when Donnelly turned 16 and noticed he had gained weight after a growth spurt.

“My belly got rounder and rounder, and I was developing emotional eating to deal with social anxieties,” Donnelly says.
“Things got worse and worse.”

He constantly sucked in his stomach and was always looking in the mirror, worried about how others viewed him. His violin playing suffered because of the mental and physical anxiety that came with the body image anxiety, which he now believes was a body dysmorphic disorder.

The “breaking point,” he said, came in 2013, when he was playing with London Symphony Orchestra after six years of studying at the Royal Academy of Music in London. He says he could feel his body locking up during performances because of his “debilitating self-consciousness.”

“The anxiety had snowballed for 10 years, and I realized then that I didn’t want to be a musician anymore,” he said.

He returned home, where he started eating healthier, practicing mindfulness and experimenting with nudism. The first time he got naked in public was at a nude beach. He realized then that he had finally stopped sucking in his stomach.

“Going nude was like chucking myself into the deep end,” he said. “It forced me to confront my anxiety, and I loved it.”

But Donnelly’s personal journey over the last four years, which included coming out as bisexual and starting “The Nude Movement,” a social media campaign to promote nudism, hasn’t been without its challenges. Donnelly’s parents, he says, have struggled to accept the changes.

“I have changed my culture completely, and that’s been very hard for them,” he says. “They love me, and I respect them and try to have a love there. But I knew that when I came back from London it was life or death, and I had to completely change my life.”

Nude skydiving was his admittedly dramatic show of just how much he’s changed, and how far he’s willing to go to break down the stigma for others.

In the process, he also hoped to break a Guinness World Record for “Highest Musical Performance in Free Fall.” That didn’t go so well either. Guinness wouldn’t even consider his application, explaining:

“While we certainly do not underestimate your proposal, we think that it is a little too specialized for a body of reference as general as Guinness World Records,” the company responded to Donnelly in a July 1 email.

But Donnelly, who was eight weeks away from his dive at the time, wasn’t ready to admit defeat. He said given that Guinness has records for “Most Smarties/M & Ms eaten in one minute blindfolded using chopsticks,” he thought he might be able to convince the company to change its mind.

Guinness was unmoved.

“Thanks for providing video examples,” a representative wrote. “Regrettably ‘uniqueness’ is not objectively quantifiable and cannot therefore form the basis of a world record.”

“Guinness World Records” was Donnelly’s favorite book growing up. But the excuses for not accepting his application, he says “are really silly.”

“There seems to be a clear bias against naked people setting world records,” he said.

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9/1/2017, 7:13 am Link to this post PM Bellelettres
 
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Re: Quickies


quote:

Bellelettres wrote:

(Does this belong here, Robbie?)




Yep, perfect. Thanks, Belle.

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Robbie
9/1/2017, 9:31 am Link to this post PM Miz Robbie
 


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